GOOGL: 9% below its entry zone

Market today

Calm.

Sector streaks: Communication Services down 7 sessions in a row; Industrials up 4 sessions in a row; Materials up 4 sessions in a row

📌 TODAY'S FEATURED STOCK: GOOGL

Current price: $286.18

Overview

GOOGL trades at $286.18, down 11.9% on the day on 1.6× normal volume. It sits 29.9% below its 52-week high of $408.10 and is down 16.1% over the past month. Momentum is oversold — RSI 23 with MACD still negative — and options are pricing a ±$14.66 (±5.1%) move over the next week.

Key Stats

Price

$286.18

down 11.9% today

Past month

-16.1%

a clear pullback

vs 52-week high

-29.9%

high was $408.10

Momentum (RSI)

23 out of 100

beaten down — sellers may be running out of steam

Trend direction

Fading

sellers are gaining ground

Trading volume

1.6× normal

busier than usual

Nearest floor

—

Nearest ceiling

$361.79

26.4% above — where sellers showed up before

Expected 1-week swing

±$14.66 (±5.1%)

what options traders are pricing in

Expected 2-week swing

±$20.41 (±7.1%)

what options traders are pricing in

2-Week Swing Outlook

Current price

$286.18

Target (10d, Nov 12, 2026)

$286.90

↑ +1.17%

Confidence band (p10–p90)

$263.36 – $314.38

Confidence

Low

● UP — GOOGL target $286.90 (+1.17%) by Nov 12, 2026 (10 trading days). Mode 3: trained model (215 reconciled 10-day session(s) on record, avg |error| 5.47%).

Institutional Analysis

Insider activity	2 sell(s), 0 buy(s) (last 90d) — largest: Director, $0.0M, Sep 30, 2026
Buybacks	$45709M FY2025, down from $62222M FY2024 — ~1.15% of market cap
Analyst consensus	54 analysts, Strong Buy (mean 1.38) — target $430 vs $287 spot
Dark pool	57.1% of volume, ELEVATED signal
Congressional	No trades on record

Earnings

Next earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Latest reported (Oct 28, 2026): EPS Miss -29.80% / Revenue Miss -0.30%

News Summary

One narrative dominates: the post-earnings repricing. Alphabet's Q3 2026 print on Oct 28, 2026 missed on EPS ($2.12 vs $3.02) and revenue ($127.58B vs $127.96B), and headlines put the decline at roughly 13%, erasing about $489 billion in value (financialjuice.com, Oct 28, 2026). Sell-side response was target cuts without rating cuts \u2014 KeyCorp to $385, plus lowered forecasts from Susquehanna, Rosenblatt and Cantor Fitzgerald, while Needham reaffirmed Buy (marketbeat.com, Oct 28, 2026). The only non-earnings item in the feed is the Genie 4 world model launch with native audio (financialjuice.com, Oct 27, 2026).

Outlook

Next earnings (Oct 28, 2026): BEARISH (Medium confidence) — Result is already priced; 54 analysts still rate strong_buy with a $429.68 mean target.
End of this week (Oct 30, 2026): NEUTRAL (Medium confidence) — Expected 1-week move of $14.45 (5.07%) allows a sharp swing either direction.
End of this month (Oct 31, 2026): NEUTRAL (Low confidence) — Further target cuts after KeyCorp's move to $385 could extend the company-specific decline.

Today's Runners (4)

SKHY: $162.29 (-1.5%, 0.3× vol)
RSI 52 (neutral), MACD histogram positive and rising → short-term bullish bias
ORCL: $139.77 (-3.3%, 0.3× vol)
RSI 53 (neutral), MACD histogram positive and rising → short-term bullish bias
STX: $689.40 (-1.2%, 0.1× vol)
RSI 42 (neutral), MACD histogram positive and rising → short-term bullish bias
NOW: $114.73 (-23.6%, 1.5× vol)
RSI 30 (approaching oversold), MACD histogram negative and falling → short-term bearish bias

Day Prediction targets (6)

Ticker	Current	Target	Move	Dir	Conf.
MU ★	$953.10	$903.13	-5.2%	▼	High
NOW	$114.73	$109.66	-4.4%	▼	High
STX	$689.40	$664.27	-3.6%	▼	High
ORCL	$139.77	$134.99	-3.4%	▼	High
SKHY	$162.29	$157.24	-3.1%	▼	Medium
WDC ★	$395.88	$393.86	-0.5%	▼	Low

Targets are model forecasts for today's 4:00 PM ET close, not guarantees. Confidence reflects backtest depth; per-ticker hit rates are in the dashboard.

Watchlist Signals (full table) (21)

Ticker	Price	Entry Zone	Distance	Signal	Model score (v4)
NFLX	$62.13	$59.51-$64.47	IN ZONE	MIXED	28
NVDA	$213.26	$205.24-$213.62	IN ZONE	QUIET	12
OKLO	$26.93	$26.04-$28.20	IN ZONE	MIXED	42
ORCL	$139.77	$136.90-$142.48	IN ZONE	MIXED	23
RKLB	$60.41	$56.26-$60.94	IN ZONE	MIXED	39
STX	$689.40	$670.05-$725.89	IN ZONE	MIXED	15
WDC	$395.88	$380.56-$412.28	IN ZONE	MIXED	16
IREN	$27.05	$27.69-$29.99	-2.4%	QUIET	30
MU	$953.10	$882.37-$918.39	+3.8%	MIXED	7
HIMS	$29.15	$26.75-$27.85	+4.7%	QUIET	34
TSM	$435.13	$398.44-$414.70	+4.9%	MIXED	15
INTC	$92.96	$83.20-$86.60	+7.3%	UPGRADE	28
NOW	$114.73	$102.06-$106.22	+8.0%	MIXED	10
GOOGL	$286.18	$309.34-$321.96	-8.1%	MIXED	22
LYFT	$16.17	$14.20-$14.78	+9.4%	MIXED	41
PYPL	$57.58	$50.48-$52.54	+9.6%	DOWNGRADE	15
META	$625.40	$527.96-$549.50	+13.8%	MIXED	19
EBAY	$122.46	$103.33-$107.55	+13.9%	MIXED	41
SKHY	$162.29	$132.31-$137.71	+17.9%	MIXED	9
BE	$225.63	$183.71-$191.21	+18.0%	MIXED	18
MSFT	$526.83	$390.61-$406.55	+29.6%	MIXED	8

Earnings tomorrow (1)

INTC · Thu Oct 29, 2026 · after close

16:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±8.9%

$84.62 – $101.22, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 8

±9.3%

bigger than implied in 2 of 8

Consensus

EPS $0.40

revenue $16.49B

EPS record

beat 5 of 7

avg move after beats −0.8%, after misses −0.4%

Last 8 reactions

+7.8%−2.9%−6.7%−8.5%+0.3%−17.0%+23.6%−7.9%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Paper book (hypothetical)

Position

Rule set A P&L

Rule set B P&L

Δ (shares)

Call 89 · Nov 6

+$377.50

≈ +72

Long 113 shares

+$869.53

≈ +113

Options often lose value after earnings as implied volatility drops (IV crush), even when the stock moves the right way.

Earnings recap (2)

SKHY · Tue Oct 27, 2026 · after close

16:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±8.0%

$133.68 – $156.78, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 1

±2.6%

bigger than implied in 0 of 1

Consensus

EPS $6.42

revenue $99,592.13B

EPS record

beat 1 of 1

avg move after beats −2.6%

Actual move vs implied

+13.3%

vs implied ±8.0%: moved more than implied · open gap +8.5% · $145.36 → $164.70

IV before → after

71% → 63%

−8 pts, at-the-money

Last 1 reactions

−2.6%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Paper book (hypothetical) · P&L on Wed Oct 28, 2026

Position

Rule set A P&L

Rule set B P&L

Call 138 · Nov 6

+$1,432.50 (target hit)

Long 72 shares

+$1,392.48 (target hit)

Options often lose value after earnings as implied volatility drops (IV crush), even when the stock moves the right way.

STX · Tue Oct 27, 2026 · after close

16:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±8.6%

$617.30 – $733.80, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 8

±10.2%

bigger than implied in 4 of 8

Consensus

EPS $7.43

revenue $4.15B

EPS record

beat 8 of 8

avg move after beats +7.3%

Actual move vs implied

+4.5%

vs implied ±8.6%: fell short · open gap −3.1% · $667.85 → $697.97

IV before → after

77% → 67%

−10 pts, at-the-money

Last 8 reactions

−8.1%+6.8%+11.6%−3.4%+19.1%+19.1%+11.1%+2.3%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Calendar — This Week & Next Week

THIS WEEK
Oct 26, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026

Mon, Oct 26, 2026

—

Tue, Oct 27, 2026

PYPL earnings · before open · implied ±7.7%

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

HIGHFOMC Rate Decision

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 3.75%-4.00%

EBAY earnings · after close · implied ±7.1%

GOOGL earnings · after close · implied ±5.8%

MSFT earnings · after close · implied ±5.0%

NOW earnings · after close · implied ±10.5%

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

HIGHGDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv

Actual +3.4% · Fcst +3.2% · Prev +2.2% in line

HIGHPCE

HIGHCore PCE MoM

Actual +0.3% · Fcst +0.3% · Prev +0.3% in line

MEDIUMPCE MoM

Actual +0.5% · Fcst +0.5% · Prev +0.3% in line

MEDIUMPCE YoY

Actual +3.6% · Fcst +3.6% · Prev +3.4% in line

MEDIUMInitial Jobless Claims

Actual 194 · Fcst 199 · Prev 195 in line

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

—

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

—

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

—

NEXT WEEK
Nov 2, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

HIGHISM Manufacturing PMI

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 54.5

Tue, Nov 3, 2026

—

Wed, Nov 4, 2026

HIGHISM Services PMI

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 54.9

Thu, Nov 5, 2026

MEDIUMInitial Jobless Claims

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 194

IREN earnings · time not confirmed · implied ±18.0%

LYFT earnings · time not confirmed · implied ±11.6%

Fri, Nov 6, 2026

HIGHNon Farm Payrolls

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 29

MEDIUMAvg Hourly Earnings

MEDIUMAverage Hourly Earnings YoY

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev +3.0%

MEDIUMAverage Hourly Earnings MoM

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev +0.1%

OKLO earnings · before open · implied ±13.1%

Sat, Nov 7, 2026

—

Sun, Nov 8, 2026

—

Market today

📌 TODAY'S FEATURED STOCK: GOOGL

Overview

Key Stats

2-Week Swing Outlook

Institutional Analysis

Earnings

News Summary

Outlook

Recent News

Today's Runners (4)

Day Prediction targets (6)

Watchlist Signals (full table) (21)

Earnings tomorrow (1)

Earnings recap (2)

Calendar — This Week & Next Week

Get The Mono Take