RKLB: inside its entry zone

⚠️ GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv tomorrow 8:30 AM ET — high impact. Forecast +3.2% (prev +2.2%). Volatility risk — consider holding off on new buys until after the release. A hot print raises sell-off risk; it doesn't guarantee one.

Market today

Calm.

Sector streaks: Communication Services down 6 sessions in a row; Semiconductors up 4 sessions in a row; Technology up 4 sessions in a row; Consumer Staples down 4 sessions in a row

📌 TODAY'S FEATURED STOCK: RKLB

Current price: $57.34

Overview

RKLB trades at $57.34, down 1.7% on the day on 0.1× normal volume. It sits 62.0% below its 52-week high of $151.00 and is down 20.6% over the past month. Momentum is weak — RSI 44 with MACD still negative — and options are pricing a ±$6.39 (±11.1%) move over the next week.

Key Stats

Price

$57.34

down 1.7% today

Past month

-20.6%

a sharp drop

vs 52-week high

-62.0%

high was $151.00

Momentum (RSI)

44 out of 100

weak

Trend direction

Fading

sellers are gaining ground

Trading volume

0.1× normal

quiet — a move on thin trading is less convincing

Nearest floor

—

Nearest ceiling

—

Expected 1-week swing

±$6.39 (±11.1%)

what options traders are pricing in

Expected 2-week swing

±$10.52 (±18.3%)

what options traders are pricing in

2-Week Swing Outlook

Current price

$57.34

Target (10d, Nov 11, 2026)

$60.51

↑ +3.77%

Confidence band (p10–p90)

$45.15 – $75.99

Confidence

Low

● UP — RKLB target $60.51 (+3.77%) by Nov 11, 2026 (10 trading days). Mode 3: trained model (214 reconciled 10-day session(s) on record, avg |error| 18.87%).

Institutional Analysis

Insider activity	25 sell(s), 0 buy(s) (last 90d) — largest: Chief Financial Officer, $6.0M, Oct 1, 2026
Buybacks	$0M FY2025, flat vs. $0M FY2024 — ~0.00% of market cap
Analyst consensus	20 analysts, Buy (mean 1.59) — target $102 vs $57 spot
Dark pool	39.1% of volume, NORMAL signal
Congressional	No trades on record

Earnings

Next earnings: Nov 9, 2026
Latest reported (Aug 10, 2026): EPS Miss -37.22% / Revenue Beat +1.06%

News Summary

The RSS feed is thin — only two MarketBeat price-move recaps (+8.3% on Oct 27, 2026, +2.3% on Oct 26, 2026), which explains the +6.47% five-session move with no fundamental news attached. The real narrative sits in the catalyst research: everything hinges on Neutron's first flight, with Stage 1 tank production aligned to a Q4 2026 Wallops LC-3 pad delivery and management conceding the year-end debut window 'is narrowing.' On the revenue side, the $816M SDA Tracking Layer Tranche 3 prime award and the closed Mynaric acquisition scale Space Systems, but fixed-price government work dilutes gross margin. That margin/loss tension is precisely what drove the ~10% Q2 2026 intraday drop despite 62% revenue growth and a record $2.36B backlog.

Outlook

Next earnings (Nov 9, 2026): NEUTRAL (Low confidence) — Neutron timeline slippage commentary could repeat the Q2 margin-driven selloff.
End of this week (Oct 30, 2026): NEUTRAL (Medium confidence) — A 10.94% one-week implied move means even quiet tape can swing sharply.
End of this month (Oct 31, 2026): NEUTRAL (Medium confidence) — Heavy CFO selling — 140,157 shares on Oct 1, 2026 — weighs on any rally attempt.

Today's Runners (4)

RKLB: $57.34 (-1.7%, 0.1× vol)
RSI 44 (neutral), MACD histogram negative and rising → short-term mixed/neutral bias
IREN: $27.38 (-0.2%, 0.3× vol)
RSI 34 (approaching oversold), MACD histogram negative and rising → short-term mixed/neutral bias
WDC: $384.99 (+1.1%, 0.2× vol)
RSI 48 (neutral), MACD histogram positive and rising → short-term bullish bias
META: $618.49 (-0.3%, 0.3× vol)
RSI 32 (approaching oversold), MACD histogram negative and rising → short-term mixed/neutral bias

Day Prediction targets (8)

Ticker	Current	Target	Move	Dir	Conf.
IREN	$27.38	$25.69	-6.2%	▼	High
SKHY ★	$162.38	$167.68	+3.3%	▲	Medium
RKLB	$57.34	$55.47	-3.3%	▼	Medium
MU ★	$977.99	$1,007.59	+3.0%	▲	Medium
ORCL ★	$130.54	$128.09	-1.9%	▼	Medium
META	$618.49	$607.32	-1.8%	▼	Medium
NOW ★	$153.44	$155.94	+1.6%	▲	Medium
WDC	$384.99	$386.06	+0.3%	▲	Low

Targets are model forecasts for today's 4:00 PM ET close, not guarantees. Confidence reflects backtest depth; per-ticker hit rates are in the dashboard.

Watchlist Signals (full table) (21)

Ticker	Price	Entry Zone	Distance	Signal	Model score (v4)
IREN	$27.38	$26.34-$28.54	IN ZONE	QUIET	26
NFLX	$61.81	$60.02-$65.02	IN ZONE	MIXED	31
OKLO	$26.67	$26.24-$28.42	IN ZONE	MIXED	28
ORCL	$130.54	$125.31-$135.75	IN ZONE	MIXED	22
RKLB	$57.34	$55.98-$60.64	IN ZONE	MIXED	9
STX	$648.28	$641.14-$694.56	IN ZONE	MIXED	10
WDC	$384.99	$365.64-$396.12	IN ZONE	MIXED	14
GOOGL	$325.05	$309.34-$321.96	+1.0%	MIXED	26
HIMS	$28.24	$26.75-$27.85	+1.4%	QUIET	24
NVDA	$218.32	$205.24-$213.62	+2.2%	QUIET	12
TSM	$440.00	$398.44-$414.70	+6.1%	MIXED	3
PYPL	$55.83	$50.48-$52.54	+6.3%	MIXED	9
MU	$977.99	$882.37-$918.39	+6.5%	MIXED	14
INTC	$94.07	$83.20-$86.60	+8.6%	UPGRADE	37
EBAY	$117.93	$103.33-$107.55	+9.7%	MIXED	78
META	$618.49	$527.96-$549.50	+12.6%	MIXED	18
LYFT	$16.69	$14.20-$14.78	+13.0%	MIXED	37
BE	$224.49	$183.71-$191.21	+17.4%	MIXED	13
SKHY	$162.38	$132.31-$137.71	+17.9%	MIXED	36
MSFT	$529.05	$390.61-$406.55	+30.1%	MIXED	15
NOW	$153.44	$102.06-$106.22	+44.5%	MIXED	9

Earnings tomorrow (4)

EBAY · Wed Oct 28, 2026 · after close

16:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±7.1%

$109.51 – $126.36, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 8

±6.9%

bigger than implied in 4 of 8

Consensus

EPS $1.41

revenue $3.11B

EPS record

beat 8 of 8

avg move after beats −1.6%

Last 8 reactions

−8.2%−8.2%−0.7%+18.3%−15.9%+3.1%−0.3%−0.9%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Paper book (hypothetical)

Position

Rule set A P&L

Rule set B P&L

Rule set A · v2 P&L

Rule set B · v2 P&L

Δ (shares)

Put 120 · Nov 6

+$25.00

—

≈ −55

Put 122 · Nov 6

+$117.50

—

≈ −60

Put 120 · Nov 13

—

+$45.00

≈ −53

Put 119 · Nov 13

—

−$40.00

≈ −51

Short 83 shares

+$163.25

—

≈ −83

Short 82 shares

+$246.28

+$309.82

≈ −82

Short 84 shares

—

+$66.36

≈ −84

Options often lose value after earnings as implied volatility drops (IV crush), even when the stock moves the right way.

GOOGL · Wed Oct 28, 2026 · after close

16:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±5.8%

$305.96 – $343.51, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 8

±4.1%

bigger than implied in 3 of 8

Consensus

EPS $2.97

revenue $127.91B

EPS record

beat 8 of 8

avg move after beats +0.4%

Last 8 reactions

+2.8%−7.3%+1.7%+1.0%+2.5%−0.5%+10.0%−7.1%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Paper book (hypothetical)

no open positions in GOOGL.

MSFT · Wed Oct 28, 2026 · after close

16:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±5.0%

$502.80 – $556.25, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 8

±7.0%

bigger than implied in 5 of 8

Consensus

EPS $4.72

revenue $90.74B

EPS record

beat 8 of 8

avg move after beats −0.2%

Last 8 reactions

−6.1%−6.2%+7.6%+3.9%−2.9%−10.0%−3.9%+15.5%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Paper book (hypothetical)

no open positions in MSFT.

NOW · Wed Oct 28, 2026 · after close

16:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±10.5%

$137.34 – $169.69, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 8

±8.8%

bigger than implied in 3 of 8

Consensus

EPS $1.02

revenue $4.09B

EPS record

beat 6 of 8

avg move after beats +2.3%, after misses −14.6%

Last 8 reactions

+5.4%−11.4%+15.5%+4.2%+2.5%−9.9%−17.7%−3.7%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Paper book (hypothetical)

Position

Rule set A P&L

Rule set B P&L

Δ (shares)

Put 155 · Nov 6

−$207.50

≈ −47

Short 66 shares

−$340.05

≈ −66

Options often lose value after earnings as implied volatility drops (IV crush), even when the stock moves the right way.

Earnings recap (1)

PYPL · Tue Oct 27, 2026 · before open

08:00 ET · Yahoo Finance earnings dates

Implied move

±7.7%

$51.54 – $60.09, from the Oct 30 straddle

Average move, last 8

±8.0%

bigger than implied in 4 of 8

Consensus

EPS $1.31

revenue $8.71B

EPS record

beat 7 of 8

avg move after beats −3.3%, after misses −20.3%

Actual move vs implied

+2.0%

vs implied ±7.7%: fell short · open gap +0.8% · $54.99 → $56.09

IV before → after

56% → 35%

−21 pts, at-the-money

Last 8 reactions

−4.0%−13.2%+2.1%−8.7%+3.9%−20.3%−7.7%+4.0%

oldest → newest · outlined: moved more than implied

Paper book (hypothetical) · P&L on Tue Oct 27, 2026

Position

Rule set A P&L

Rule set B P&L

Rule set A · v2 P&L

Rule set B · v2 P&L

Call 58 · Nov 6 × 4

−$324.00 (stop hit)

−$324.00

—

Call 57 · Nov 6 × 3

−$229.50 (stop hit)

−$229.50

—

Long 175 shares

+$192.50

—

Short 180 shares

—

−$122.40 (opened)

Options often lose value after earnings as implied volatility drops (IV crush), even when the stock moves the right way.

Calendar — This Week & Next Week

⚠️ GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv tomorrow 8:30 AM ET — Forecast +3.2% (prev +2.2%). Core PCE MoM tomorrow 8:30 AM ET — Forecast +0.3% (prev +0.2%). A hot print raises sell-off risk; it doesn't guarantee one.

THIS WEEK
Oct 26, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026

Mon, Oct 26, 2026

—

Tue, Oct 27, 2026

SKHY earnings · after close · implied ±8.0%

STX earnings · after close · implied ±8.6%

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

HIGHFOMC Rate Decision

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 3.75%-4.00%

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

HIGHGDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv

Actual — · Fcst +3.2% · Prev +2.2%

HIGHPCE

HIGHCore PCE MoM

Actual — · Fcst +0.3% · Prev +0.2%

MEDIUMPCE MoM

Actual — · Fcst +0.5% · Prev +0.3%

MEDIUMPCE YoY

Actual — · Fcst +3.6% · Prev +3.4%

MEDIUMInitial Jobless Claims

Actual — · Fcst 199 · Prev 194

INTC earnings · after close · implied ±11.4%

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

—

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

—

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

—

NEXT WEEK
Nov 2, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

HIGHISM Manufacturing PMI

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 54.5

Tue, Nov 3, 2026

—

Wed, Nov 4, 2026

HIGHISM Services PMI

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 54.9

Thu, Nov 5, 2026

MEDIUMInitial Jobless Claims

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev —

IREN earnings · time not confirmed · implied ±18.1%

LYFT earnings · time not confirmed · implied ±12.6%

Fri, Nov 6, 2026

HIGHNon Farm Payrolls

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev 29

MEDIUMAvg Hourly Earnings

MEDIUMAverage Hourly Earnings YoY

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev +3.0%

MEDIUMAverage Hourly Earnings MoM

Actual — · Fcst — · Prev +0.1%

OKLO earnings · before open · implied ±13.9%

Sat, Nov 7, 2026

—

Sun, Nov 8, 2026

—

Market today

📌 TODAY'S FEATURED STOCK: RKLB

Overview

Key Stats

2-Week Swing Outlook

Institutional Analysis

Earnings

News Summary

Outlook

Recent News

Today's Runners (4)

Day Prediction targets (8)

Watchlist Signals (full table) (21)

Earnings tomorrow (4)

Earnings recap (1)

Calendar — This Week & Next Week

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