Watchlist Notes · Oct 21, 2026

BE: 0.8% above its entry zone ahead of earnings

Upcoming earnings: BE · Thu Oct 22, 2026 after close · WDC · Thu Oct 22, 2026 after close · PYPL · Tue Oct 27, 2026 before open · SKHY · Tue Oct 27, 2026 after close · STX · Tue Oct 27, 2026 after close

Market today

Calm.

Sector streaks: Consumer Discretionary up 3 sessions in a row

📌 TODAY'S FEATURED STOCK: BE

price chart

Key Stats

Price
$235.59
up 5.8% today
Past month
-13.7%
a clear pullback
vs 52-week high
-32.9%
high was $351.28
Momentum (RSI)
43 out of 100
weak
Trend direction
Fading
sellers are gaining ground
Trading volume
0.2× normal
quiet — a move on thin trading is less convincing
Nearest floor
$214.56
8.9% below — where buyers stepped in before
Nearest ceiling
$285.91
21.4% above — where sellers showed up before
Expected 1-week swing
±$38.09 (±16.2%)
what options traders are pricing in
Expected 2-week swing
±$46.96 (±19.9%)
what options traders are pricing in

2-Week Swing Outlook

Current price
$235.59
Target (10d, Nov 4, 2026)
$208.31
↓ -11.32%
Confidence band (p10–p90)
$190.82 – $316.89
Confidence
Medium

● DOWN — BE target $208.31 (-11.32%) by Nov 4, 2026 (10 trading days). Mode 2: Bayesian (2 reconciled 10-day session(s) on record, avg |error| 16.55%).

chart

Institutional Analysis

Insider activity10 sell(s), 0 buy(s) (last 90d) — largest: Director, $7.2M, Aug 17, 2026
Analyst consensus26 analysts, Buy (mean 2.24) — target $285 vs $235 spot
Dark pool36.2% of volume, NORMAL signal
CongressionalNo trades on record

Earnings

Next earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Latest reported (Jul 28, 2026): EPS Beat +100.00% / Revenue Beat +29.52%

News Summary

The provided news_headlines feed carries no BE-specific stories at all — it is entirely macro/geopolitical wire (Kremlin-Witkoff talks, ECB's Kazaks on inflation, Bessent on Taiwan chip supply). The dominant driver is therefore the company's own scheduled Q3 print on Oct 22, 2026 (per the company press release), with retail chatter on StockTwits framing consensus near ~$1.06B revenue and ~70c adjusted EPS and flagging Truist's target raise to $240 while keeping Hold. Absent fresh company news, the stock is trading on positioning into that event — hence a +4.87% company-specific move today against a flat tape. Treat the catalyst_context items as leads requiring confirmation, since that research pass was explicitly unable to re-verify them live.

Outlook

  • Next earnings (Oct 22, 2026): NEUTRAL (Medium confidence) — A 15.8%+ downside gap on an in-line guide would put the 214.56 key support in play immediately, with 143.21 as the measured breakdown target below it.
  • End of this week (Oct 23, 2026): NEUTRAL (Low confidence) — Volume is running 80.5% below the 20-day average, so a thin tape can exaggerate the post-earnings move in either direction beyond what the 100.8% ATM IV prices.
  • End of this month (Oct 31, 2026): BULLISH (Low confidence) — Relentless one-way insider selling — Immelt's 30,000 shares ($7.17M, Aug 17, 2026), Chambers' 15,000 ($3.75M, Aug 13, 2026) and Joshi again on Oct 1, 2026 — with zero insider buys, plus a beta of 3.776 that amplifies any macro wobble such as ECB/inflation tightening talk in the headline feed.

Recent News

Today's Runners (3)

  • IREN: $27.10 (+1.8%, 0.3× vol)
    RSI 26 (oversold), MACD histogram negative and rising → short-term bullish-reversal-risk bias
  • WDC: $370.93 (+1.8%, 0.2× vol)
    RSI 40 (neutral), MACD histogram negative and rising → short-term mixed/neutral bias
  • BE: $235.59 (+5.8%, 0.2× vol)
    RSI 43 (neutral), MACD histogram negative and rising → short-term mixed/neutral bias

Day Prediction targets (7)

TickerCurrentTargetMoveDirConf.
BE$235.59$250.42+6.3%▲High
MU ★$910.66$946.20+3.9%▲High
ORCL ★$129.28$125.11-3.2%▼High
NOW ★$150.72$155.39+3.1%▲Medium
IREN$27.10$27.39+1.1%▲Medium
WDC$370.93$372.77+0.5%▲Low
SKHY ★$142.57$142.66+0.1%▲Low

Targets are model forecasts for today's 4:00 PM ET close, not guarantees. Confidence reflects backtest depth; per-ticker hit rates are in the dashboard.

Swing Forecast highlights (1)

  • IREN (5d): target $25.09 (DOWN)

Watchlist Signals (full table) (14)

TickerPriceEntry ZoneDistanceSignalModel score (v4)
INTC$91.99$88.02-$95.36IN ZONEUPGRADE24
IREN$27.10$25.56-$27.68IN ZONEQUIET38
OKLO$27.81$26.38-$28.58IN ZONEMIXED26
ORCL$129.28$125.89-$136.39IN ZONEQUIET32
STX$698.27$648.12-$702.14IN ZONEMIXED16
WDC$370.93$349.75-$378.89IN ZONEMIXED41
BE$235.59$213.74-$231.56+1.7%MIXED50
SKHY$142.57$132.31-$137.71+3.5%QUIET19
MU$910.66$838.99-$873.23+4.3%MIXED2
HIMS$29.06$26.00-$27.06+7.4%QUIET23
PYPL$57.10$50.48-$52.54+8.7%MIXED29
EBAY$122.25$103.33-$107.55+13.7%MIXED14
LYFT$17.11$14.20-$14.78+15.8%MIXED14
NOW$150.72$101.96-$106.12+42.0%MIXED12

Macro Calendar — This Week & Next Week

THIS WEEK
Oct 19, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
—
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
—
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
—
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
MEDIUMInitial Jobless Claims
Fcst 200 · Prev 199
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
—
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
—
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
—
NEXT WEEK
Oct 26, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
—
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
—
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
HIGHFOMC Rate Decision
Fcst — · Prev 3.75%-4.00%
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
HIGHGDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv
Fcst — · Prev +2.2%
HIGHPCE
Core PCE MoM
Fcst — · Prev +0.2%
PCE MoM
Fcst — · Prev +0.3%
PCE YoY
Fcst — · Prev +3.4%
MEDIUMInitial Jobless Claims
Fcst — · Prev —
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
—
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
—
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
—

Earnings Simulator alerts (5)

  • BE: Thu Oct 22, 2026, after close (1 session)
  • WDC: Thu Oct 22, 2026, after close (1 session)
  • PYPL: Tue Oct 27, 2026, before open (3 sessions)
  • SKHY: Tue Oct 27, 2026, after close (4 sessions)
  • STX: Tue Oct 27, 2026, after close (4 sessions)

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